Ford Authority

Ford F-150 Has Below-Average Chance Of Reaching 250K Miles

With the release of the most recent version of iSeeCars’ list of the the longest-lasting vehicles on the road today, we’ve seen a number of Blue Oval products make the cut – including the Ford Super Duty F-250 and F-350, the latter of which actually ranked at the very top of this particular list, as well as the Ford Expedition. However, some models from this particular automaker didn’t fare quite as well, including the Super Duty’s F-Series stablemate, the Ford F-150.

The Ford F-150 ranked 11th on the list of the longest-lasting pickup trucks on the road with a 19.2 percent chance of reaching 250,000 miles, which sounds good on the surface. However, that’s lower than the average pickup, which has a 25.9 percent chance of lasting that long, ranking it behind two of its chief rivals – the Toyota Tundra (47.9 percent chance of reaching 250k miles) and the Chevy Silverado 1500 (31 percent), though ahead of the GMC Sierra 1500 (18.3 percent) and Ram 1500 (14.1 percent).

To come up with this list, iSeeCars analyzed over 260 million vehicles sold between 2012 and 2022 to determine which are most likely to survive to the quarter-million mile point. The average odometer reading for every vehicle was calculated at each yearly age, and a proprietary model based on these average mileages was developed to estimate the probability that each vehicle would survive to various thresholds. Ultimately, this latest study found that the average lifespan of vehicles in general is getting longer as time goes by.

“Vehicle lifespans continue to grow, with more than 20 cars now having a 20 percent or better chance of lasting at least a quarter million miles,” said Executive Analyst Karl Brauer. “For most of the automobile’s history, 100,000 miles was considered the maximum usable lifespan. Over the past 30 years we’ve watched an increasing number of cars reach 200,000-plus miles, and for our tenth Longest-Lasting Cars Study we’ve expanded our analysis to predict which vehicles have the greatest likelihood of reaching 250,000 miles or more.”

We’ll have more on the F-150 soon, so be sure and subscribe to Ford Authority for the latest Ford F-Series news, Ford F-150 news, and continuous Ford news coverage.

Brett's lost track of all the Fords he's owned over the years and how much he's spent modifying them, but his current money pits include an S550 Mustang and 13th gen F-150.

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  1. Richard

    Another dubious survey. The Silverado and Sierra should be the same. This sounds like something Consumer Reports would issue.

    1. Chris

      Pretty easy to explain a statistical difference between the two. For example, take rate on different engines likely differs between the two marques. I’m certainly skeptical of the survey’s methodology, but pointing to the Sierra/Silverado as evidence isn’t solid.

  2. Michael N

    Yeah, after 40+ years, I think my brand loyalty to Ford has run its course. My next truck will most likely be a Toyota Tundra.

    1. Chris

      I highly recommend you research the new tundra. It does not have the same reliability as the current generation. When Ford had supply problems I looked at the new tundra.

      1. Daryl

        If the US Tundra is anything like the Hilux in the EU, then it’s junk and a grocery getter at best. A far cry from what Toyota used to make. Might as well get a RAM. LOL.

  3. Daryl

    If this is even true, the reason is people actually use Ford trucks for work and put them through hell. My dad had a 97 F-150 that lasted 20 years and 375,000 miles before he sold it; and last I saw the buyer is still driving it around. Sure, it’s not pretty, but it still works just fine and doesn’t even have much rust. Most Dodge trucks that are only a few years old around here are rust buckets, and GM’s aren’t much different. Dad’s 04 Silverado was rusting badly before he sold it only five years after buying it new, and he babied that thing. The truck was a piece of junk.

  4. Chuck R

    What this survey didn’t mention was what engine was in the F-150s. I am on my 3rd right now. First one 2001 w/5.4 got 337K and the engine and tranny were fine, never touched them outside of maintenance. Body rot from NE winters was the reason to sell. The 2014 only got 219K on the 3.5 Ecoboost. My personal belief is that the turbo hurt the engines. More crap pushed to us by DC regulators. Toyota is going to turbos soon and I think they will have the same issues that Ford is having. My gut tells me that the water pump and water jackets are too small. When I was looking at remanufactured engines, almost all had upsized water pumps.

  5. cj

    Ford would be wise to offer that new 7.3 simple pushrod engine they offering in the new F 250 and 350…..and reduce there turbo offering…and there reliablity and recalls would be better….engines are a key part to longivity of trucks and cars….the simplier the better…

  6. Barry

    That’s funny my 06 F-150 has a 4’6 with 197,678 miles on it and it still runs like the day I bought it!

  7. James Littleton

    Fake news

  8. Tom schilleci

    A few years ago I sold my 94 150 and it had 387 thousand miles on it . It had the 302 and all I did was change the oil change the plugs every 100 thousand miles..every once in a while I see my old truck..the guy is still driving it around

  9. Jimmy

    Another bunch of bull

  10. Brother Bob

    Still driving my 2013 F 150 XL with the 3.7L 6cyl. 317,300 miles. Radio gave out years ago. Wish I could afford a new Maverick. Too close to retirement to take on a note. I’ll just keep on trucking till it won’t truck no more.

  11. Donald VanPelt

    Certainly, dull reporting on the life of a new truck…..Nothing worse than wild-assed guesses depending on use and maintenance habits…MEH….

  12. Bruce

    iSeeCars appears to be some sort of sloppy silicon valley startup with bad data and very poorly written algorithms. I would love to here these tech wizards explain how the Chevy Silverado 1500 (31 percent) has a 13 percentage point better chance of making it to 250k miles than the mechanically identical GMC Sierra 1500 (18.3 percent)? You would think when the algorithm spit something out this silly it would make them go back and start over.


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